Just don’t do it. The square player buys it hook, line, and sinker and thinks it’s the De Vinci Code of NFL betting.

So often we warn gamblers about the mortal sin of using inductive rather than deductive reasoning. The quintessence of that is the rapid circulation of the insipid illogic of “all you have to do is pick the straight up winner of a game and chances are you will have the spread winner.” It’s always followed by some stat where the outright winner has covered 80 percent of the time.  Dah. 

As any semi-literate gambler knows, when an underdog wins they cover 100 percent of the time.  The favorite cannot cover unless they win outright.  It’s impossible.  The only scenario in which a team can win and not cover is when the favorite wins but by a smaller margin than the spread.

Not shockingly the numbnuts who perpetuate unscientific preposterousness almost always quote stats relevant to the NBA or NFL.  In college sports there are more mismatches and hence larger spreads where the margin is larger for a favorite to win and not cover.

If a team is a 3.5 point favorite the only way the team that wins will not cover is for the favorite to win by one, two or three points. Any other result will have the team that wins covering.  At what percentage do these half-wits think a team should win and not cover?

Obviously the stupidity of this widely circulated inductive blather can be refuted from now until eternity.  Or at least until an underdog wins but fails to cover, whichever comes last.  But to those who subscribe to it as if there is any logic, thanks for keeping the books in business for the rest of us.

Since the prevailing premise behind this urban myth is “it’s so much easier to pick the SU winner than the spread winner” why don’t these fancied geniuses just pick dog winner after dog winner on the moneyline?

There are plenty of underdogs that win outright, many huge dogs in fact.  If one wants to postulate how much easier it is to pick the SU winner, why waste such foreknowledge on collecting $100 for every $110 risked?  Just keep picking those 250 dogs and get your money’s worth.

I don’t want to ruin this fool’s gold with such a logical question, but like I keep saying, I guess those pipe dreamers are needed to keep the books in business for the rest of us.

No oddsmaker will go broke underestimating the intelligence of the betting public.

The author Joe Duffy has been a successful professional handicapper long before the Internet. Duffy burst on to the scene as scorephone legend “JD of the ACC”back in the 1980s and is now CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

Accumulators can turn tiny stakes into big profits, but how exactly do they work? Read on to find out.

What are Accumulators?

Just what is an accumulator bet? Those from North America might be familiar with accumulators under the name parlay, and if you’re into exchange betting you may know them as multiples, but they’re all essentially the same type of bet.

Accumulators involve a single stake on multiple different contingencies occurring. If you have six football matches on a weekend, you could have a six phase accumulator predicting the result of each match. Naturally, the odds on this sort of bet occurring are significantly longer than single market betting (a result bet on a single football match, for example), but the flip side is that if they do come off you can make a lot more profit than you would with a single event bet.

Accumulators are just one weapon in the smart bettor’s arsenal when it comes to making money. Another, and potentially the most prudent way to bet, is at no deposit USA casinos where you can make profits without paying a cent in deposits thanks to generous promotions. These deals enable players to compete for cash prizes with slots or table games, with the only possible outcomes being real money profits or no loss whatsoever. If you’re a cautious player, this is the perfect way to play.

How the Odds are Calculated

The odds on each individual contingency are used to calculate the overall accumulator odds. And because of the multiplying effect, if you go for outsiders the odds will be far, far longer than backing favourites. Usually, accumulators have at least four stages. This means that even odds of around 3/1 can lead to a total accumulator chance of one or two hundred to one.

To get mathematical about it, the odds are calculated by converting the odds of each individual leg of the accumulator into decimals and multiplying them. This can mean a significant payout even if you’re just backing favourites.

If you’re unsure of what to bet on with this new method of playing, you can do worse than to take advantage of free tipsto help give you a head start and decide on what the best strategy might be.

Other Long Odds Betting Approaches

The long odds are the major draw of accumulators but they’re not the only way to get long odds with a credible chance of coming off. Another approach is to go for a long term approach by backing results years or even decades down the line.

Of course, the dream is the freak result as happened with Leicester City in the EPL. A title bet on this team could be had at a mind-boggling 5,000/1, leaving many fans with a small fortune for bets they made with little real hope of profits. Unfortunately, the very magnitude of this title triumph has led the betting industry (in the UK, at least) to reduce the super long odds that rank outsiders used to get, for fear of a second Leicester City result.

Luck always plays a factor in betting, and sometimes you can enjoy an enormous slice by being online when news breaks (just one more advantage of betting online). When Hamilton caught COVID-19 and was out of the Sakhir Grand Prix in 2020 it took bookies a few minutes to catch up. In that time, you could get 60/1 on eventual winner Perez to claim the victory, which is pretty tasty for a single event bet.

Accumulator Pros and Cons

The first pro is the most obvious: get an accumulator to come off and you’ll make far more than you would with a series of single event bets (and with a lower stake). The corresponding con is that if even one aspect of your bet fails, the whole thing falls through.

This can be mitigated somewhat, depending on what your sportsbook offers. Each way accumulator bets mean that instead of backing a precise result you get paid if your winner places (it’s commonly available top 2 or top 3 for F1, and maybe top 4 for horse racing). This gives you a much better chance of winning. Be aware that each-way bets can only be placed alongside full-win bets (the upside to this is that if your picks all come first then you get the huge odds payout and the smaller each way profits too).

Some bookies also allow players to get their stake back, with neither profit nor loss, if a single leg of an accumulator fails to come off.

Accumulators can be very good for free sports bets that sportsbooks regularly offer, because there’s no risk of loss but if your bet comes off then you can turn a tiny free bet stake into hundreds of pounds/dollars.

Mid-Accumulator Betting

Accumulators don’t have to be placed on events occurring on the same day, and sometimes mid-event betting moves can be a wise idea.

One option is to hedge a potential loss if all but the last one or two legs of your accumulator have come off, you stand to make a fortune, and you’re nervous about losing out at the final stages. In this circumstance, probably the wisest way to hedge is to bet against the specific outcomes you’ve backed on an exchange (where you can oppose as well as back specific results), or you can make the relevant bets at the same place you have the accumulator.

Cunning tipsters are always available to give you an inside line if you’re unsure of things might play out, and this can be used to inform your strategy with an accumulator that’s going well so far but still has a few phases to go.

Some sportsbooks also offer cashout options for bets, which is an available option for accumulators at increasing numbers of sites. This means you get profits immediately but at a far lower rate. It does, however, totally eliminate the risk of loss.

Accumulators can be a great way to try win a lot with a little, but keep in mind that a single failure means the bet won’t come off.

Canada’s fallen behind the US when it comes to single-event sports betting, but this might be about to change if current legislative efforts are anything to go by.

Single Game Sports Betting in Canada

To bettors in the United Kingdom, and Europe generally, the idea of being able to bet on sports but not a single sporting market sounds utterly bizarre. But that’s the current state of play in Canada, which has had a peculiar approach to betting legislation in various ways for some time, not least the ambiguous stance to online gambling and the ban on single sports betting.

There are plenty of great tips for players to take advantage of whether sport-specific or general principles, but for the most part players prefer single-game betting. A single market is much more straightforward and thus has a better chance of paying out, whereas parlay bets have multiple contingencies and the player loses if just one result doesn’t go their way.

However, this strange Canadian prohibition on single-game sports betting could soon come to an end if current legislative moves (which, unusually, are supported across the political spectrum) come to fruition. In February, a private member’s bill to that effect passed its second reading in the House Commons by an overwhelming margin, indicating the very high chance that the bill will become law further down the line.

It’s not just online sports betting that’s restricted in Canada; the country has a very grey approach to online casinos too. Whether slots fans or card sharks, USA real money casinos are places where winning real money is possible and can often be done by taking advantage of promotions. Better yet, there are usually hundreds of slots and many table games, including live dealer versions. Some sites even combine casino and sports aspects, so you can bet on your favourite team and relax spinning reels all under the same virtual roof.

Billions of Dollars in Benefits

Kevin Waugh, one of the MPs sponsoring the bill, has expressed his hope that the vote will prove a boon for Saskatchewan and Canada’s sports sector. Waugh cited the scale of the single game sports betting industry, which stands at an estimated $14bn. Two-thirds of this is through the Canadian black market, with the remaining $4bn occurring legally, but benefiting offshore betting operations.

Naturally, the Canadian central and provincial governments make no money whatsoever, as overseas betting is to the advantage of other countries, and underworld betting syndicates are not renowned for their civic-minded approach to taxes.

The Canadian Gaming Association (CGA) has also calculated that only around $500m is placed in legal provincial sports betting in a year. This is not surprising, as any bettor knows that a parlay bet (also known as a multiple or accumulator) is far less likely to come off than a single bet, and is correspondingly less attractive to players most of the time.

The government bill to address this, C-13, has since been pulled but the private member’s bill, C-128, is still on course and is endorsed with substantial political backing. If it comes into effect, this should massively reduce criminal (and overseas) sports betting, benefiting the Canadian authorities significantly.

The Changing View of Sports Teams, and the US

An attempt a decade earlier to make similar moves failed, partly because professional sports bodies were opposed to legalizing single-game sports betting. However, this attempt to just ignore reality (Canadians are going to bet on single-game sports markets, the only question is whether they pick offshore or criminal options if the country refuses to make it domestically accessible on a legal basis) seems to be at an end.

One of the reasons for that is the situation south of the border. The US has typically been more puritanical than Canada on betting matters, so it’s perhaps unexpected to find more liberal legislation in America than Canada. Nevada and New Jersey led the way, and now around half the states have some measure of legal sports betting. Given the Canadian-US nature of various sports competitions, this has naturally attracted a number of Canadian bettors. Major Canadian sports leagues now stand in favor of the proposed legislation.

There is still an argument about the risks of addiction, but Waugh has suggested limits could be imposed to try and counter this. And it’s certainly the case that government authorities, responsible to the electorate, will be more interested in mitigating the risks than criminal gangs.

Affecting the USA?

The widespread and growing sports betting industry in the USA means that American players are probably unlikely to move en masse to Canadian betting sites. Perhaps the more significant impact will be Canadian players who may prefer to win and lose with domestic rather than American sportsbooks. However, this will add more competition to the mix, particularly for leagues that are combined US-Canadian affairs, and that may help make odds a touch more generous as sportsbooks try to attract players.

All that said, there are still various states where sports betting is not on the table domestically, and this may be another avenue for keen sports fans and bettors in America to have a wager. It will also add to the head of steam that already exists for more states to liberalize their sports betting laws, for fear of players doing precisely that. After all, if players are going to bet, most states would want the income that comes with that to go to the state, not to Canada.

Players have plenty of different ways to decide on how to bet, whether that’s backing a favorite team, opting for home advantage, or taking a long hard look at the stats. One alternative is to make use of free tips by professional tipsters to give yourself an edge over the sportsbooks.

It’s been a long time coming, but it seems the death knell for forced parlay sports betting may have been sounded. The legislation hasn’t completed its journey yet, but it enjoys strong support and it seems to just be a matter of time.

Find out why legal sports betting is good for the NCCA and will allow championships in different states and give punters more choice in online bookmakers. H1: Legalizing Sports Betting is good for the NCAA

The long-awaited decision from the Supreme Court came last week and the federal ban on single-game sports betting in states other than Nevada was struck down. In the biggest news event in recent sports betting news, the court ruled that the federal government had overstepped its powers by infringing on states’ rights in violation of the 10th Amendment when it passed the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act.

Delaware and New Jersey are ready to pass sports gambling legislation in the next couple of weeks and there could be at least 20 more states to do the same in the next couple of years. This will allow for more online sports betting sites to be able to accept bets during major sporting events - something that has been available at legal betting sites in Canada for years.

The NCAA however is pressing Congress to enact another federal law regulating sports betting. They feel that a law needs to be passed to protect the integrity of its games and have argued that without federal protection, the games and athletes will be open to match fixing. The NCAA is worried because unlike professional athletes who are often paid huge salaries, college athletes are only paid in educational benefits. This has been the reason why some gamblers have been able to get athletes to provide insider information or fix games.

Legal Sports Betting on NCAA Games Has Advantages

The NCAA institutions have been looking for ways to keep fans engaged and attending games and the Supreme Court ruling could be the answer. Sports betting makes a lot of money and according to the Nevada Gaming Control Board, around $300 million was spent on the NCAA Basketball Tournament in 2017. An additional $150 billion was wagered illegally on sports betting in 2017 and $10 billion of this was on the NCAA Tournament.

Gambling is not a threat to college athletics and has been legal in Nevada since 1931. The NCAA and the Nevada sports books work together to keep the games clean and monitor against game fixing. These efforts will become more enhanced as more states legalize sports betting. As more money is wagered through legal sports books the state and the NCAA will be better able to monitor games for problems. ScoresOddsPicks has a dedicated NCAAF news section where our visitors can follow the latest betting news.

It has been suggested that gambling related money be set aside and given to youth programs in the state so that the NCAA are not seen to be profiting from gambling. This will help ensure plenty of skilled college athletes in the future and better define the different between college and professional sports.

Legal sports betting will be great for the NCAA as their biggest sources of revenue for the college athletic programs are television money and gate receipts. The average attendance for Division 1 colleges has been dropping for the past ten years. With the introduction of legal sports betting, an increase in game attendance and TV viewership will happen as those that bet on sports watch more games than average fans and this is a big win for the NCAA.

NCAA Championships In States That Allow Sports Betting

The National Collegiate Athletic Association has temporarily suspended its prohibition on championship events being played in states that allow sports gambling. There are five states that have already passed laws legalizing sports betting and these states will start accepting bets in the near future. These states are, New Jersey, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Delaware.

Pennsylvania is scheduled to host 12 NCAA Division 1 championship events between now and 2022 including the men’s basketball tournament, the men’s lacrosse final four and championship game, and the Frozen Four men’s hockey semi-finals and final. These are all high-profile events that attract a lot of visitors who want to spend money.

Many other states that have been awarded NCAA championship events have also stated that they plan to explore sports betting as well.

The NCAA have stated that the temporary suspension could become permanent and this will open up the possibility of holding championship events in Las Vegas which has been offering legal sports betting for a long time.

Could Legal Sports Betting Put NCAA Athletes at Risk?

Kenny White is the Vice President of data integrity at Don Best Sports a company that provides betting odds and information to sportsbooks. He was the one who discovered suspicious activity at the University of Toledo where seven former football and basketball players were tried and convicted.

Incidents like these have come to the surface again with the Supreme Court’s ruling to allow states legalize sports gambling. According to White, amateur athletes are the highest risk because there are no paycheck and they don’t make any money. If a gambler throws $10,000 in front of them and says fix one game, you don’t even need to lose, there’s a pretty good chance that they will do it. If they do and are found out that’s it for them, there is no coming back.

With Delaware and New Jersey taking their first wagers and Mississippi, West Virginia, and Rhode Island coming next, a lot of states are wondering what the impact will be on college athletics. The NCAA supports a federal model on legalized sports gambling and they have concerns about the impact on student athletes.

Jake Williams of Sportradar, said less than 1 percent of the 400,000 matches the company covers are deemed to have suspicious betting or likely to be fixed. He has suggested the NCAA along with member schools beef up corruption and integrity units and invest in education and monitoring.

Sara Slane, senior Vice President of public affairs at the American Gaming Association said that the more transparent and regulated a sports betting system is, the better the NCAA is in detecting when something goes awry.

To combat insider trading it has been suggested that league-wide injury reports similar to the NFL will help with integrity. It was even suggested that legal sportsbooks could pay the NCAA for streamlined information which will be an additional source of revenue for the NCAA.

Education and monitoring is going to be essential moving forward and while legal sports betting may be healthy for the market, there will also need to be balance.

LateInfo is up! 1 ET He is still the top outlaw source in the world is the biggest bookmaker in the Southeast, where draconic laws still do not allow onshore sportsbooks. Trading info with other large books, he is the source for where sharp info is going that sneaks under the radar because bets are outside Vegas and offshore. Biggest outlaw sharp move of NFL season to date at 1 ET. Cleveland vs. Dallas side.  Get the picks now

MINNESOTA +3.5 Houston

Fading terrible teams (based on winning percentage) as favorites are 153-108-8. Vikings distraction as Titans players tested positive? If anything, just something to rally around. One simulator has Minnesota covering 52 percent, as a three-point win projected. Another has Minnesota covering 57.3 percent of time. Another power ratings has Minnesota -1.5 and projected to win by two.  

This is the first time Houston is favorite this season. Fading favorites that have usually been in underdogs role is 153-93-12 including 18-4 the last 22.  That being said, they’ve played KC, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh. Go with the much more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 331-244-14. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.

Winless teams that blew at least an eight point lead the previous week are 49-24-1. Vikings led 24-12 last week against Titans.

We bet at GTBets

Are you planning to take a plunge into the online casino space and think it is effervescent in comparison to the traditional flamboyant brick and mortar casinos? Then you should think again.  Online casinos are picking up like file fire for a decade now. The precision of their artificial intelligence algorithms is comparable to that ofthe best-known casinos in the world. The cherry on top is the choices and various mouth-watering bonuses offered online to encourage new players to sign up. 

It may sound too good to be true. It is true! This is possible because they can afford to offer attractive bonuses owing to the cost savings, by eliminating investment on heavy brick and mortar constructions and ornamentation. For instance, check out a quick summary of new casinos and just soak in the reality. Today, there are several types of casino bonuses available online to choose from. These are designed to help players indulge in various casino wagers depending on their skill, budget, patronage, mode of payment and risk temperament. 

Some of the juiciest bonuses offered by online casinos today help you stay profitable. Check them out.

Matching Deposit To A Bonus

Bonus amount is matched to the amount deposited by the player. This amount is capped to a ‘maximum limit’. For example, if the ‘maximum limit bonus’ is fixed at $500, and a player wishes to sign up and deposit $400 to start, 100% of the value is matched. Which means he will receive $400 as a bonus. Now he can play to a limit of $800. However, if he wishes to deposit $800 he will receive the restricted maximum limit amount of $500 as a bonus and he will now be able to play with $1300 from his account. 

Fixed Sum Bonus

Lower limit or budget conscious players will get a fixed sum as a bonus. The amount is set irrespective of the high value. However, there is a low limit set. For example, if the fixed limit is set to $100, the ‘low limit’ may be set to $80. So, anyone depositing $80 and beyond will receive $100 as a bonus. This means anyone depositing below $80 is not eligible for this bonus. On the flip side,anyone depositing a lump sum of $1000 will also receive a bonus of $100. This method is not lucrative for people playing with high stakes.

No Bonus Deposit With No Strings Attached

This type of bonus is low-risk, and handed out to casual risk-averse players. The amount will be a small sum for sign up which can be retrieved after a few play shots. This value cannot be cashed. It is given in points to encourage the player to warm up. For example: The point value of the no deposit bonus is set to 20 points, $1 per point.  A new player who would like to try before depositing a big sum can sign up for for the ‘no deposit’bonus. He will be eligible to play with his conservative bidding along with the value set in the points awarded ($20 in this scenario). 

Special loyalty bonus for frequent visitors

Once it’s established that you are a frequent visitor, you get bonus points every time you log in to wager. This value is calculated as a percentage on the basis of your: [frequency X wager amount lost or gained]. The stakes are usually high and the bonus offered is higher in value in order to keep the VIP happy and visiting. Some online casinos offer fixed monthly or reload bonuses for their frequent VIP customers. 
Referral Bonus - Several casinos offer a bonus for referrals. You earn bonus points for every sign up through your referral. A neat way to add value to your bankroll.

Payment Method Bonus

Some casinos hand out an extra 10-15% to your bonus for choosing the prescribed preferred method of payment. Example: 10% bonus of your deposit value is matched over and above the bonus offered for choosing a particular bank. Very attractive! Great way to add a little extra to your bankroll. 

There’s a Caveat

One may think that it is easy to sign up and take the bonus points home without wagering. Casinos have been around for centuries and have metamorphosed to be resilient to any kind of withdrawal without wagers. Bonuses can be taken home only after a certain number of wagers or prescribed minimum cash amount played with. These wagering requirements are based on an AI algorithm which calculates the number of wagers required to cover the handed-out bonus plus a small percentage as an operating cost. It is also restricted with an expired date. 

Do The Freebies Come At The Cost of Security?

Unlike today, a decade ago the tools for security and transparency were not well developed and in place. It was easy for anyone to have players sign up for a bonus and disappear without a trace. This is not viable today. With the competition and need for consumer protection from various online casinos popping up; monitoring transactions, background checks, and transparency have become paramount. So, enjoy your bonuses.

Parting Thoughts

It is always wise to read the fine print before signing up to ensure you don’t land up in a situation where your money is converted to points that cannot be taken home. In short, you must not fall into a ‘Hamster’s Wheel’ where you have to keep gambling and cannot enjoy your wins. If the terms are unclear it is a good idea to talk to their customer support engineer for clarifications before you sign up. 

Ice Hockey is a fast paced, non-stop action sport and a lot of fun to bet on too. If you are new to ice hockey betting though it can be a bit confusing and there are lots of mistakes that beginners can make. To help you avoid this our article focuses on the most common mistakes NHL bettors make so you can make sure you dont do it. You can also check out Joe Duffy podcasts on sports betting for some more advice on how to make money

NHL Betting Mistakes to Avoid

Below you will find our top 7 NHL sports betting mistakes to avoid if you want to turn a profit with your bets.

1. Don’t Assume a Game is a Lock: One thing that every sports bettor needs to realize is that locks don’t exist in any sports, especially ice hockey. In the NHL season, at least 20-25% of the games are usually decided in overtime or with a shootout. Some of the games also end up being 1 goal decisions. A referee making a bad call or a puck bouncing in the net off a skate or shin page can be enough for the underdogs in any game to win out over the favorites. Motivation levels are a huge part of the game and the effort that is put in too. The big teams often don’t put in as much effort when playing against a big underdog and this can be a bettors chance to net a profit when betting on a lobsided hockey game.
2. Don’t Bet on Favorites on the Puck Line: A lot of beginning NHL bettors place their bets on the puck line instead of putting everything on the favorite. The puck line is similar to the point spread in basketball or football where the favorite needs to win by a certain amount. The puck line bets appeal to beginners because of the big odds that they offer. Even a -200 favorite will pay around +150 on the -1.5 puck line and most would prefer to win $150 on their $100 wager instead of having to risk $200 to win $100. What you have to remember though, is that the odds on puck line favorites are big for a reason and many of the NHL games are decided by 1 goal.
3. Don’t Focus on Shots on Goal: A lot of beginners focus on a team’s recent shot differential when assessing them. This is where they compare shots for and shots against, but it can be misleading. Teams that aren’t as skilled will often shoot as many times as they can regardless of whether they are in a good scoring area or not. By getting lots of pucks on net, they hope to score on a screen, deflection, or rebound. Some of the better teams of course will make the extra pass and limit their shot attempt in favour of really strong scoring opportunities. The score in a game can also determine the number of shots on goal a team is prepared to attempt. If a team has an early 3 goal lead they may move to a more defensive play. Instead of focusing on shots on goal, we recommend paying attention to the more advanced statistics that are available such as shot attempts percentages in close games.
4. Know the Goalie: The most important player on any ice hockey team is the goalie and many new bettors don’t pay attention to who he is. It is vital that you know who the goalie is for every game before you place your bets. Even the best goalies in the NHL will get between 10 and 15 games off especially when they are playing back to back games or facing an inferior opponent. If a backup goalie is going to be playing in the game you want to bet on make sure that you know what his save percentages and goals against averages are. If the backup goalie is poor then it would be wise to place your bet on the other team and vice versa.
5. Home Ice Doesn’t Mean Advantage: As with all sports, NHL teams have an advantage when they are playing at home. They don’t have to travel to the game and they get the last substitution after the whistle which helps coaches to get the matchups they want. They also have the home crowd advantage too. This doesn’t necessarily translate to an advantage during the game though and most ice rinks now look exactly the same. Home teams still do win almost 55% of their games in the NHL but they don’t win as often as home teams in other sports like the NFL or NBA. As with all NHL bets, it is important to look at the stats for each team and assess them properly before placing your wagers even if the home team does have the advantage.
6. Don’t Overreact to Injuries: Injuries happen in any sport but in ice hockey they are usually less meaningful. This is because even top players only play for about a third of the game. There are some players that you might worry about but in general it shouldn’t make too much of a different. Certain teams can survive without their top players more than others. The oddsmakers will also factor injuries into the betting lines and it is a known fact that players will focus more when they know they need to elevate their game to fill in for a missing teammate.
7. Get the Best Odds Possible: Odds will vary depending on the sports betting site you use and getting the best odds possible for your NHL bets is important. Moneyline odds are especially important and the difference between +125 and +120 may not seem like much but over a long season this is a lot of money and profit that you could be missing out on.

How to Get Better at Betting on NHL Games

Now that you know what to avoid we have a couple of tips to help you get better with your NHL bets.

• Don’t Overspend and Know Your Sport: This is probably common sense but you will find that many sportsbooks put smaller returns on money lines and puck lines. Just because this happens doesn’t mean you should splash out and spend more than you have. Stick with your budget and make sure you know the sport you are betting on.
• Pay Attention to Pucklines: You should pay careful attention to pucklines. Hockey is a low scoring game and almost no NHL game ends with a point spread of five or six points. If you bet on the favorite to win within the spread you have a very good chance of winning more for less. Sometimes the underdogs have a very strong payout too and if your research tells you the game could go either way, bet on the underdog.
• Use the Puckline and the Money Line: It does no harm to bet on the the money line and the spread and these bets can often be quite profitable if your research shows the favorite is really strong.

Week 3 of NFL are posted and commence with what is arguably the most intriguing contest from a sports betting standpoint. Down to third string QB Jacoby Brissett, the Patriots face a rare game as a home underdog to Houston on Thursday Night Football.

It is the first time since November 2, 2014 that the Patriots were underdogs in Foxboro and just the fifth time since 2002. Technical handicapping pioneer Stevie Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com says New England is 30-15 ATS in such situations going back to 1990.

Miami is in a rare case of being a winless team with at least two losses and a double-digit favorite. All seven times this has happened since 1996, the game has gone under with an average of just 27.5 points per game scored. The average posted total was 41.9 at price per head shops. Cleveland is down to third-straight QB Cody Kessler.

Brian Hoyer is another new QB. He is starting for Chicago in place of injured Jay Cutler. Playing on the road on MNF, Chicago is getting +7 at Dallas with rookie QB Dak Prescott.

The early strongest consensus as usual is on a road favorite, with 83 percent of tickets written on the Arizona Cardinals laying -4 at Buffalo. Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia over is the most popular total getting a stunning 94 percent of bets. Complete odds are below.

Beware of making consequential futures bets, including playoff series wagers. I have been shocked so often when I have heard experienced and winning bettors tacitly confess how early season wagers have biased them from making compulsory game-by-game adjustments in winning sports bets.

That is ironic, because another cardinal sin is when bettors and touts overreact to the previous contest. But in my confabs with sharps, I have heard several acknowledge, they lean towards Side A in a certain situation, but they cannot bet on them because they need Side B to hit a considerable season wins over/under wager.

So many of our angles, systems, and theories betting with Marathonbet UK are dependent on overall season results, recent game(s) performance, alterations for injuries, trades, surprise rookies and freshman or disappointments and positive revelations from a player at any experience level.

Just as a successful coach will have a full-season blueprint, but absolutely must study weekly game film and make proper in-season and in-game fluctuations, a gambler should never handcuff himself with a sizeable portfolio of preseason wagers.

We as bettors need to be right more often than wrong, but like successful people in any enterprise must be quite to isolate and admit our mistake, learn from them and turn them into a positive.

Clinging to a preseason proposition bet is embracing a deleterious bias when betting with Marathonbet global.

We are now past the halfway point of the season and the divisions are starting to take shape, with all eyes surely looking forward a few months to Superbowl XLIX on February 1st 2015. Betting on sports is an industry on the rise over here, with more and more people starting to put their money where their mouth is, especially on the mammoth that is the Superbowl. With the surprises thrown up by last year's finale you could be forgiven for not wanting to hedge any bets on the outcome just yet, although you'll get much better odds if you place a wager now, so now might be the time to start having a think. Hopefully we will be able to give you a few pointers here so all your cash doesn't end up in the bookies's pocket.

Currently, the four teams who have the shortest odds include last year's two finalists, the Denver Broncos being the shortest at 11/4 and the Seattle Seahawks the longest of these four at 15/2. In between the two are the New England Patriots and the Green Bay Packers, both at 13/2. Out of these four the Broncos and the Patriots are leading their divisions, with the Packers and Seahawks both tailing in second in theirs. According to this you may want to take a look at the Broncos and Patriots for your betting excursion, as it is unlikely either team will relinquish their lead so late on-especially the Patriots, who have missed out on the big game since 2012.

If you still can't choose which team you think will win however, or alternatively if you just fancy some more exciting odds then you may be more interested in looking at an alternative form of betting that still incorporates the NFL. One way to do this would be to play the slots game offered at iPhonecasino.com.au, $5 million touchdown. You can play this game for free, though your mind may change when you realise that the name of the game is actually the available jackpot.

Boise-Ole Miss, FSU-Oklahoma State, WVU-Alabama, UCLA-Virginia, Wisconsin-LSU, Clemson-Georgia, SMU-Baylor, Colorado-CSU, California-Northwestern, Rice-Notre Dame, Miami-Louisville, Texas A&M-South Carolina are among the betting picks contests this weekend in college football. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com has betting previews!



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Here is some week 1 NFL preseason picks information. It is extremely important to keep checking back as information is updated constantly. Get the sharp player intel before the markets do!



To never miss out please subscribe to us on sports betting Twitter feed not to mention obviously YouTube. If you prefer sports betting podcasts we have that option.

Subscribe and rate us on iTunes. The experts tell us the more great ratings we get, the better we show up in searches. So support our free content by rating us hopefully five-stars. The more exposure we get, the more free content.

We are also on Stitcher. Please rate and review us there, positively we hope. And we are proud to be on TuneIn as well. However on iTunes, Stitcher, and TuneIn, there is a lag time to when they pick up our broadcasts. So again Twitter for OffshoreInsiders.com gets you the multi-media in real time.

Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com previews the Eastern Conference finals between the Montreal Canadiens and New York Rangers with Peter Loshak of SBR Forum Videos.

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com gives a very fair and balanced review of the CNBC sports handicapping show Money Talks.



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In the history of sports betting, no handicapper made a longer and larger profit than Joe Duffy did from 1988 until right around the turn of the century in MLB. There are very specific reasons why those glory days are very much and unequivocally back both with premium plays and free MLB picks.

Never miss a winner with sports betting Twitter feed, live sports odds and tools, sports betting podcast, Sports Gambling YouTube channel, Sports Betting Podcasts via iTunes, Facebook feed for bettors, Sports handicapping on Pinterest, Rebel Mouse sports betting, and Sports gambling Slideshare

Get NBA playoff pick pack from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com Okay, some of you just don't bet MLB no matter how much we win. Get our famed Bounce Back Theory leading the way to yet another winning NBA postseason. This package includes ONLY the NBA playoffs. No MLB or the occasional NHL. This is NBA picks ONLY for $574 or see our winning all sports options

Though previously published, this article included updated (off another winning season) statistics complete entering the 2014 postseason for Billy Walter's picks

It is NBA playoff time. In gambling that means every major handicapping site will have an article or six about the famed, or is it infamous zigzag theory. The concept is to bet on whichever team loses the previous game in a series to cover the ensuing contest.

Entering the 2014 postseason the blind zigzag is 388-363-8 since 1995. Obviously, there is no edge. There should be no further discussion.

Yet our bounce-back angle continues to win. Not as easy to objectively measure, it says weigh the zigzag based on a combination of the more evenly matched the teams are and the bigger the blowout is, the more likely the previous game loser is to bounce back.

The key word is "combination" of such factors. In other words, the threshold for "blowout" is not the same for a No. 1 versus eight as it would be for a four vs. five or when one plays No. 2.

Hence, some sports betting expert playoff bounce back subsystem angles that we trace involve both the spread and straight up margins.

Finally, teams are even more likely to respond positively at home. This why we must test hypotheses. My gut reaction was that home court advantage would be less in the postseason than regular season.

Why? Because scheduling dynamics are biased towards the home team in the regular campaign. When teams are playing three games in four nights or five in seven, a majority of those are on the road. In matchups in which one team is clearly more rested than their opponent, it benefits the home team about 80 percent of the time. In fact, long-term clients know some of our best NBA regular season angles are betting road teams when they are the 20 percent exception.

But alas, objective numbers say that since 1995 home teams have a +3.2 scoring edge in the regular season, but +4.8 in the postseason even though the aforesaid scheduling dynamic does not exist as any sports betting expert would know.

In reality, the explanation was right in front of my eyes. I've lived in Atlanta since 1988 and have gone to my share of Hawks games. Regular season crowds can be sparse and unenthusiastic. Playoff crowds in Atlanta are almost the polar opposite.

Since 1995 Atlanta is 16-9-1 against the spread in the postseason, but seven games under .500 in the regular season. The last several years, I print out attendance figures. I used to call, now can simply visit ticket sales websites on game day to see how many tickets are available. When analyzing home/road splits, I add up to 1.5 points to teams that were low in attendance during the regular season, but are sold out or nearly sold out that night.

Of the bounceback subsystems I track, among the most prominent is to go with playoff home favorites off a double-digit loss. This system is a very solid 76-50. Add to that the more subjective criterion of lower attendance teams that will have a sellout that night and the "bounce back angle" gets even stronger.

The term "playoff atmosphere" is not just a broadcasters' cliche, it is an actual handicapping angle.

The once vibrant, not nearly dormant USENET group rec.gambling.sports has a long-time poster with his own bounce back angle. He named it "Denise Milanis" apparently after an adult movie star known for her "bounciness."

He says to bet in a team off a "blowout" or "bad home loss" in the playoffs. Though he seems to be pretty clandestine about how he defines each, the bottom line is that he does post which games he says apply before they tipoff.

I have kept an eye his tracking and the only legitimate criticism is he does bloat his record a bit with cherry-picked lines, meaning the best hindsight spread he could have bet.

Still, he claims a mark of 115-71-5, which, even with a more objective scorekeeping using widely available lines, would not impeach the angle.

We all know of the proverbial fine looking daughter (or son) of not-so-attractive parents. Among the top of sports betting secrets is that the zigag is a Plain Jane mom with one beautiful looking daughter: the bounce back angle. She gets better with age.

Joe Duffy's Picks gives you the exact angle and the precise up-to-date stat when the bounce back angles apply.

Check out my breakdown with SBRForum host Peter Loshak as we break down the line moves and predict which way they are headed.



Jets outright as a Wise Guy makes us 32-16 in the NFL since week 3 of the preseason. We go 8-1 in the NFL last week. We hit all four Wise Guys Giants OVER, Cowboys OVER, Raiders, and Jets. We have two NFL and a college football up for this weekend. Get at least the weekly Joe Duffy's Picks or Bet it Trinity pass to access now. Get the picks now

UAB vs. Vanderbilt. Is the line move truly a right angle?

First Wise Guy noon ET Joe Duffy's Picks has a likely three-game sweep with Wise Guy plays not to mention two Majors. And yes, over our 26 years of releasing public picks, from the scorephones through the Internet, our Major plays hit at a substantially higher rate that Game of the Year plays offered virtually anywhere else.

Speaking of such, the CBS Game of the Year LSU-Georgia is among them. There is substantial reason we have many clients who have been with us since deep into last century. When you are ready to raise the bar and commence the rest of your gambling life as a permanent winner, we welcome you with open arms. Start out with five college football winners. Get the picks now

First Wise Guy noon ET Joe Duffy's Picks has a likely three-game sweep with Wise Guy plays not to mention two Majors. And yes, over our 26 years of releasing public picks, from the scorephones through the Internet, our Major plays hit at a substantially higher rate that Game of the Year plays offered virtually anywhere else.

Speaking of such, the CBS Game of the Year LSU-Georgia is among them. There is substantial reason we have many clients who have been with us since deep into last century. When you are ready to raise the bar and commence the rest of your gambling life as a permanent winner, we welcome you with open arms. Start out with five college football winners. Get the picks now

Here is a free pick we recorded with our friends at SBR Forum